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Super Bowl Prediction against spread and under over

By Rich Brown on February 7, 2010

It has been a fantastic year predicting games, picking against the spread my record on the year is 36-21, 63% of the time I win picking against the spread.  I do believe that is what they call “straight cash hommie”.  I know lot’s of people throw out numbers like that,  however every  prediction I have given you is posted on the site, and more importantly for you it’s free.  I know places that pray they win 63%, because they charge a nice fee, we give these picks to you for free so I hope you all have enjoyed this year.

A few days ago we given you a ranking of every offensive position and who got the edge.  Today we make the pick.

First for the under/over- As you all know, I don’t make these predictions often, but it is the Super Bowl, and I do like the where the number falls at 57.5.  I would imagine that everyone thinks this is going to be a high scoring affair and a majority of the people out there are taking the over.  What they don’t know is that both of these teams have very underrated defenses.  In the divisional rounds the Colts gave up 3 points against the Ravens, and the Saints gave up only 14 points against the Cardinals( Don’t forget the Cardinals scored 51 points against the Packers the week before).  The following week, the Colts gave up 17 to the Jets, and the Saints gave up 28 against the high scoring Vikings.  Both these offenses run on a rhythm and have not played for two weeks.  I expect this to be a very low scoring first half, with a majority of points scored in the second half.  The Guru says take the under, all they way to the bank.

As for the prediction of who will win the Super Bowl, I like the Colts to win, but the Saints to cover the 5.5 points.  I think both teams are very evenly matched.  I think either team can win, and will probably be a three point game when it’s all said and done.  I took a look at where the money is coming in at Vegas which is always a good sign of who will win the game.  In Vegas 66% of people are predicting the Colts to win against the spread.  Which further supports my pick of the Saints covering.  Vegas in the last 19 Super Bowls have gone 17-2.  Lets think back to last year, when everyone who had some extra cash picked the Steelers to win the game.  Outcome the Vegas made a killing as the Cardinals covered.   As I have said before, Vegas was built on losers, not winners. Ever since Katrina hit, the Saints have been playing with a chip on their shoulder, and I will be routing for them to win.  Take the 5.5 points with the Saints, and enjoy what I hope is another classic Super Bowl put on by the NFL.

The Saints Win

AP Photo

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